AI Trading Experiment Shows Mixed Results: Only Two Models Profit While ChatGPT Loses 63%

Anyone venturing into day trading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum needs to monitor and assess news, price movements, and market sentiment. It seems logical, then, to use artificial intelligence (AI) that never tires and makes unemotional decisions.

At least, that’s how the Artificial Intelligence ​​lab Nof1 envisioned the situation and began an experiment in mid-October. Six popular AI models were each given $10,000 in seed capital. ChatGPT 5, Gemini 2.5 Pro, Claude Sonnet 4.5, Grok 4, DeepSeek v3.1, and Qwen3-Max then had two weeks to increase their capital – but only the latter two actually succeeded.

ChatGPT falls far behind in the crypto trading competition

Nof1 founder Jay Azhang presented the detailed results via X : According to him, ChatGPT suffered a 63 percent loss in crypto trading and had only $3,700 left in its account at the end of the competition.

Grok ended up with a 45 percent loss, Gemini lost 56 percent of its starting capital, and Claude Sonnet lost 30 percent. On the bright side were DeepSeek with a gain of almost 5 percent and $489, and Qwen3-Max with a 22 percent gain, equivalent to $2,200.

AI models design various strategies for trading crypto

All six AI models were allowed to try their luck on the decentralized cryptocurrency exchange Hyperliquid, trading Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Binance Coin (BNB), Dogecoin (DOGE), and/or XRP (Ripple). They could also speculate on price movements. The AIs pursued quite different strategies. Gemini, for example, executed 238 trades, while Claude Sonnet only managed 38.

Claude Sonnet typically held open positions in only one or two of the six available cryptocurrencies, while others like Grok and ChatGPT pushed the limits to their maximum. One finding: Individual AI models like Gemini and Qwen3-Max apparently underestimated Hyperliquid’s fees, resulting in additional costs well over $1,000 in the final result.

Conclusion: Artificial intelligence is still, at best, an assistant for crypto traders

Nof1 plans to organize another AI trading competition soon and use the results of the first round to improve its prompts. The outcome of the first experiment, however, is unlikely to encourage anyone to let ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, and similar platforms dictate their trading strategies.

AI can already be helpful, though, in chart analysis for Bitcoin and altcoins like Ethereum or Solana. Artificial intelligence has its place as an assistant or sparring partner, but it still seems clearly overwhelmed when it comes to being a crypto trader taking sole responsibility.

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(Featured image by Levart_Photographer via Unsplash)

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