Bitcoin Futures Signal Growing Bets on a $100,000 January Rally

Bitcoin futures markets are seeing a concentration of positions expecting a BTC price of at least $100,000 by the end of the month. Six arguments support a Bitcoin rally.

With Bitcoin currently trading around $93,000, the leading cryptocurrency has seen little movement in its price development at the start of the new year. However, a look at the BTC derivatives markets paints a somewhat more optimistic picture: Call positions are accumulating, betting on rising Bitcoin prices and seeing around $100,000 as a realistic target for January 30th.

Analysts highlight six reasons why Bitcoin could soon be trading in six figures again:

1. In 2025, gold outperformed Bitcoin with a gain of around 70 percent, while BTC suffered a loss of approximately 5 percent. Experts like Mark Pilipczuk of CF Benchmarks see this as the starting point for potential gains, as both Bitcoin and gold are considered a “safe haven” in turbulent times (keyword: Venezuela). Therefore, more capital should now flow into BTC.
2. Bitcoin ‘s entry prices appear attractive; at 25 percent above the BTC all-time high from October at around 126,000 US dollars, there is plenty of room for growth.
3. Macroeconomic factors support a positive Bitcoin outlook. In the US, President Donald Trump may nominate a new head of the Federal Reserve as early as January, who will be tasked with implementing interest rate cuts. Lower interest rates are typically supportive for Bitcoin.
4. The Fed has already begun purchasing US Treasury bonds on a large scale, investing $40 billion in December alone. Critics see such maneuvers as a “money printing machine,” while the Fed calls its strategy “quantitative easing.” In any case, this injects fresh capital into the markets, and some of it could end up in BTC.
5. In the US, the Clarity crypto bill is expected to finally overcome its last hurdles and provide regulatory clarity for the industry. Bitcoin benefits from this legal recognition.
6. Institutional investors are signaling renewed interest in BTC. Bitcoin ETFs in the US have recorded an inflow of $925 million in capital so far in January – a trend reversal compared to December (a loss of $1 billion).

Conclusion: Bitcoin has a chance for a positive January

Crypto celebrity Tom Lee is even dreaming of another Bitcoin record high as early as January, which would require a roughly 26 percent increase in the next three weeks. The price target of $100,000 on the BTC futures markets only needs a gain of just under 10 percent in the Bitcoin price curve – not an insurmountable obstacle.

On the other hand, there’s a sense of relief in the crypto community right now that Bitcoin, after a weak November and December, has at least stabilized above the $90,000 mark. The path to $100,000 is open, but Bitcoin is known for its price fluctuations.

__

(Featured image by Norman Wozny via Unsplash)

DISCLAIMER: This article was written by a third party contributor and does not reflect the opinion of Born2Invest, its management, staff or its associates. Please review our disclaimer for more information.

This article may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements generally are identified by the words “believe,” “project,” “estimate,” “become,” “plan,” “will,” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks as well as uncertainties, including those discussed in the following cautionary statements and elsewhere in this article and on this site. Although the Company may believe that its expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, the actual results that the Company may achieve may differ materially from any forward-looking statements, which reflect the opinions of the management of the Company only as of the date hereof. Additionally, please make sure to read these important disclosures.

First published in BLOCK-BUILDERS.DE. A third-party contributor translated and adapted the article from the original. In case of discrepancy, the original will prevail.

Although we made reasonable efforts to provide accurate translations, some parts may be incorrect. Born2Invest assumes no responsibility for errors, omissions or ambiguities in the translations provided on this website. Any person or entity relying on translated content does so at their own risk. Born2Invest is not responsible for losses caused by such reliance on the accuracy or reliability of translated information. If you wish to report an error or inaccuracy in the translation, we encourage you to contact us.