PNIEC 2030 Climate Objectives at Risk, Agici Launches Target Monitoring System

Achieving the 2030 climate and energy targets for Italy is at risk, especially with regard to emissions and energy efficiency. This is what was illustrated by the Agici PNIEC Monitor working group during the event PNIEC Objectives for 2030: a challenge for all for the good of the Country, which was held in Rome at the GSE headquarters.

On this occasion, the analysis that the PNIEC Monitor conducted on the National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan was illustrated in light of the latest update of the text which, following the long process of revision and consultation in which the working group itself took part, led to a reformulation of the objectives initially identified. As the Agici PNIEC Monitor points out, the latest revision of the document, which indicates the strategy for national energy and climate policy for 2030, saw a change in the initial ambitions regarding renewable energy, energy efficiency and emissions.

The projections drawn up by the PNIEC on energy efficiency and GHG emissions are not aligned with the European objectives

With regard to renewables, the FER penetration targets on gross final energy consumption for the electricity (from 65% to 63%) and thermal (from 36.7% to 36%) sectors have been revised downwards, while an increase in the renewable share in transport (from 30.7% to 34%) and the green hydrogen share in industrial consumption (from 42% to 54%) is expected. Overall, the revision of the sector targets entails a reduction in the FER share on total final energy consumption by 2030 , which goes from 40.5% to 39.4%, although it remains higher than the EU target (38.7%).

On the contrary, the projections drawn up by the PNIEC on energy efficiency and GHG emissions are not aligned with the European objectives. As regards energy efficiency, it is estimated to reach levels of primary and final energy consumption higher than the 2030 targets, while with reference to emissions, Italy is not keeping pace both with the reduction targets for non-ETS sectors falling under the Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR), and with regard to CO2 absorption (LULUCF).

Extending the analysis to the European level, it emerges that other countries are also encountering various critical issues. The dimension of energy efficiency is commonly the most critical: with the sole exception of France, the current policy effort of Italy, together with that of Germany, Spain and the Netherlands is insufficient to achieve the respective national objectives of reduction of primary and final consumption by 2030. As regards RES, Italy and Spain are the only ones that plan to reach the national objectives while on the emissions of the ESR sectors, only France and Spain will hit their respective targets.

In light of the crucial challenges that the decarbonization objectives represent, starting from this year the PNIEC Monitor intends to implement a monitoring system , designed to provide partner companies and institutions with periodic updates on the progress towards national and community objectives in terms of energy and climate , through the use of SMART indicators – Specific, Measurable, Available, Relevant, Timely. An innovative and multidimensional system, also active on a territorial basis, which allows for the timely detection of critical issues and thus to identify possible proposals for correcting policies that can promote an effective, rapid and fair process of decarbonization of the Italian economy.

“The evidence illustrated today by the PNIEC Monitor shows how the road to decarbonization is long and tortuous, marked by numerous obstacles: from strong local opposition to renewables to the lack of clarity of the legislative framework and the inefficiency of authorization processes,” commented Marco Carta , CEO of Agici.

“For this reason, it is essential that, in the national strategy, the identification of targets is followed by a rigorous and effective process for achieving them. Through our monitoring system, we therefore want to make our contribution to formulate concrete proposals based on a constant evaluation of the progress of this fundamental path for the country.”

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(Featured image by Markus Spiske via Unsplash)

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