Africa
Standard Chartered Sees Morocco’s Growth Staying Strong in 2026 on Investment and Non-Agricultural Momentum
Standard Chartered expects Morocco’s growth to reach 4.5% in 2026 after 4.8% in 2025, driven by strong services, industry, and World Cup-related investments. Disinflation, tourism, and remittances support demand. Challenges include weak rainfall and a wider current account deficit, but solid fundamentals, fiscal discipline, and monetary reforms underpin resilience, according to its Global Focus report.
Morocco’s economic growth is expected to reach 4.5% in 2026, following a better-than-expected performance in 2025 estimated at 4.8%, its highest level since the pandemic, according to Standard Chartered Global Research (SC Global Research).
This dynamic reflects the strength of non-agricultural sectors, particularly services and industry, as well as the acceleration of public and private investments, especially in the context of major projects related to the 2030 World Cup, which largely support domestic demand, explains SC Global Research in its annual Global Focus 2026 report, dedicated to economic trends likely to influence global markets as well as emerging economies, including Morocco.
Standard Chartered forecasts solid growth driven by investment and non-agricultural sectors in 2026
Ongoing disinflation continues to bolster household consumption, while tourism receipts and remittances from Moroccans living abroad remain strong, contributing to stable demand, the same source continues, noting that Morocco enters 2026 in a relatively favorable position.
Furthermore, the Standard Chartered report highlights several challenges, including insufficient rainfall at the start of the agricultural season, which limits sectoral recovery, noting that the current account deficit is expected to widen to 2.5% of GDP.
“Despite these factors, the economic fundamentals remain solid. The government remains committed to consolidating its public finances, with a deficit target of 3% in 2026, while Bank Al-Maghrib is expected to maintain its key interest rate at 2% while preparing the transition to an inflation-targeting regime by 2027, thus providing greater flexibility for the dirham and strengthening the credibility of the macroeconomic framework,” Standard Chartered report states.
In this context, the country director and head of the Morocco zone, Cynthia El Asmar, stated that “Morocco continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience in the face of global volatility,” emphasizing that the outlook for 2026 is supported by strong non-agricultural momentum, large-scale national investments, and a more favorable inflationary environment.
The Kingdom is also moving towards modernizing its monetary framework, a development expected to strengthen its macroeconomic stability in the medium term, El Asmar said, affirming Standard Chartered’s commitment to supporting Morocco’s ambitions and facilitating investments that support its sustainable growth.
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First published in LES ECO.ma. A third-party contributor translated and adapted the article from the original. In case of discrepancy, the original will prevail.
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