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These 15 cities are experiencing a real estate bubble

There’s an easy way to identify the cities with big real estate bubbles—these are where the richest citizens live.

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Back in late 2016, writer Peter Reegh put together a list of the 15 cities based on the population of the wealthiest citizens, which was published on therichest.com. These same 15 cities remain at the top of this list today (only now more inflated than a year ago), allowing us to immediately know what areas to avoid.

And, once real estate prices have crashed, which I expect they will begin to do sooner rather than later, we’ll have a list of 15 places to find bargain properties.

Here they are, from the “poorest” of the rich to the richest:

15. Istanbul

Not everyone would have guessed this, but it’s the most classic and beautiful city on the strategic cusp of Europe and the Middle East. And, at last count, it’s home to 24 billionaires, which is more than what Tokyo or Seoul has.

14. Tokyo

Tokyo is the perfect example of what happens when a major bubble bursts. The richest people lose the most because they dominate the bubbly financial assets from real estate to stocks. Tokyo’s massive wealth decline shows the downside risk of these richest and most expensive cities.

At its height in 1989, Tokyo would have taken first or second place on this list. It’s only at #14 now, with just 18 billionaires calling it home.

13. Chicago

Chicago is the third-largest city in the U.S., and it’s the financial capital for the commodity markets and the Midwest, so it’s not surprising that it’s on this list.

12. Paris

Perhaps the most classic city in Europe, Paris has bubbly real estate prices to match. It is home to 22 billionaires, less than half that of London. But, then again, London is the financial capital of Europe.

Istanbul

At last count, 24 billionaires reside in the gorgeous city of Istanbul. (Source)

11. Seoul

Seoul has grown beautiful and sophisticated throughout the years, and it’s home to 30 billionaires.

10. Mumbai

The leading-edge and largest city in India, Mumbai is the country’s financial hub and home to Bollywood. It has 30 billionaires, 60% as many as Beijing. Not bad for a country with less than half the average incomes of China.

It’s also the location of a 27-story, billion-dollar home right downtown.

9. Boston

Boston’s presence on this list is unsurprising. After all, it’s home to very strong finance and healthcare companies.

8. Washington, D.C.

Also, not a stunner, Washington, D.C., is the government center of the U.S., just like Beijing is to China.

7. Beijing

Beijing is the richest city in mainland China, with 50 billionaires. As expected, it’s one of the most overvalued cities in China after Hong Kong.

6. Moscow

This was a bit of a surprise, but it attests to how much wealth and power the 10,000 oligarchs in Russia (and Putin) have amassed.

5. Los Angeles

Compared to New York’s 1 million wealthy, Los Angeles only has 350,000 rich people. But its total wealth is estimated at $1.3 trillion, which is more than what San Francisco boasts. But, then again, San Francisco is more overvalued, as its overall ranking suggests.

Los Angeles real estate bubble

The total wealth of Los Angeles, home to 350,000 wealthy people, is approximate at $1.3 trillion. (Source)

4. London

London has the third-highest number of billionaires, 50 of them, and is a magnet for Middle Eastern and Russian investors.

3. San Francisco

There may not be as many billionaires in The City by the Bay as L.A.—just 23—and it has only $1 trillion in wealth, but San Francisco is the second-bubbliest city in the U.S. compared to average or median incomes.

2. Hong Kong

The Jewel of the Orient has the second-greatest number of billionaires—60 of them. And its real estate bubble is even greater than New York’s when compared to average or median incomes. It has the highest price-to-income ratios in the world today.

In Hong Kong the rich drive up the cost of living more than anywhere else for the everyday person. And, yes, it is now offering 61-square-foot “closet” condos to compensate.

1. New York

The Big Apple is home to 1 million wealthy citizens and 80 billionaires, dwarfing any other city. It has a total estimated wealth of $3.5 trillion.

The overvaluation in these top global cities is roughly in the order of this ranking. I have been warning rich people in these cities that these paragons of wealth will fall the hardest, and that would include Silicon Valley.

Yet almost all I talk to think that because these cities are so attractive and have such rich citizens, they can’t fall even a little.

History says the exact opposite.

During the Great Depression, Manhattan, then also the #1 “city,” fell the most of any and took the longest to recover by far.

My advice in these uber-cities: rend. Don’t own.

DISCLAIMER: This article expresses my own ideas and opinions. Any information I have shared are from sources that I believe to be reliable and accurate. I did not receive any financial compensation in writing this post, nor do I own any shares in any company I’ve mentioned. I encourage any reader to do their own diligent research first before making any investment decisions.

Harry S. Dent Jr. studied economics in college in the 1970s, receiving his MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar and was elected to the Century Club for leadership excellence. Harry grew to find the study of economics vague and inconclusive and became so disillusioned by the state of his chosen profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning new science of finance which married economic research and market research. Identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many other trends empowered Harry to forecast economic and market changes. Over the last three decades, he’s spoken to executives, financial advisors and investors around the world. He’s appeared on “Good Morning America,” PBS, CNBC and CNN/FN. He’s been featured in Barron’s, Investor’s Business Daily, Entrepreneur, Fortune, Success, U.S. News and World Report, Business Week, The Wall Street Journal, American Demographics and Omni. He is a regular guest on Fox Business’s “America’s Nightly Scorecard.” Harry has also written numerous best-selling books over the years, such as The Great Boom Ahead, The Roaring 2000s, the Roaring 2000s Investors and The Demographic Cliff. In his most recent book The Sale of a Lifetime: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017 Can Make You Rich (2016), Harry looks at the upcoming economic crisis and reveals how it could be the single greatest chance to build wealth we’ll ever see and how we can capitalize on such a unique and historical opportunity. He explains how many of the richest Americans in history have used this same kind of opportunity to quickly accumulate incredible amounts of money, in a short period of time.