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Bitcoin Price Falls – US Financial Policy in Focus

A cut in key interest rates in the US or the eurozone could play into the hands of Bitcoin, Solana and co. and trigger a resumption of the Christmas rally. But that does not look likely. A decision by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Bitcoin ETFs is also still pending. Optimistic forecasts for Bitcoin have led to significant gains since mid-October.

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The price curve of the main cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a slight downward trend since Sunday. Experts see this as a reaction to US fiscal policy, where the Federal Reserve will decide on the key interest rate today.

The hoped-for Christmas rally of Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a setback. The price curve is down for the third day in a row and Bitcoin has fallen back to a price level of around $41,000. At the end of last week, BTC was still trading at over $43,000. Experts believe that uncertainties about US financial policy are also affecting Bitcoin.

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In the US, as in Europe, high inflation rates since the beginning of 2022 have forced central banks to gradually raise key interest rates to record levels

This is not necessarily helpful for Bitcoin and co. because investors can also expect good interest rates on low-risk government bonds in this environment. The US Federal Reserve is now discussing the key interest rate on December 13th (Wednesday) and the European Central Bank (ECB) on December 14th. Both face a difficult decision. On the one hand, inflation appears to be contained, which could allow a pause in interest rate hikes or even a reduction in the key interest rate.

On the other hand, the US labor market is running hot and the inflation rate is still just above the targeted 2%. Many analysts are therefore predicting that the high key interest rates will not be changed for the time being and that cuts are not expected until 2024. Bitcoin (BTC) is not the only cryptocurrency to react to the situation; the stock markets are also undecided.

This is also causing the so-called altcoin season on the crypto markets to stall. Although prominent representatives such as Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX) are still up significantly over the past seven days, they are now correcting where Bitcoin is no longer driving the overall market.

Conclusion: Bitcoin and co. hope for stimulus

A cut in key interest rates in the US or the Eurozone could play into the hands of Bitcoin, Solana and co. and trigger a resumption of the Christmas rally. But that does not look likely. A decision by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Bitcoin ETFs is also still pending. Optimistic forecasts for Bitcoin have led to significant gains since mid-October.

Experts have identified January 10, 2024 as the date by which the SEC could give the green light for Bitcoin ETFs. There are many indications that the crypto markets are entering a phase where patience is required.

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(Featured image by Michael Förtsch via Unsplash)

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First published in BLOCK-BUILDERS.DE. A third-party contributor translated and adapted the articles from the originals. In case of discrepancy, the originals will prevail.

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Valerie Harrison is a mom of two who likes reporting about the world of finance. She learned about the value of investing at a young age upon taking over her family's textile business when she was just a teenager. Valerie's passion for writing can be traced back to working with an editorial team at her corporate job, where she spent significant time working on market analysis and stock market predictions. Her portfolio includes real estate funds, government bonds, and equities in emerging markets such as cannabis, artificial intelligence, and cryptocurrencies.