Ethereum Between ETF Inflows, Price Risks and a Strong July

Ethereum is caught between new ETF inflows, technical resistance, and significantly higher downside risks in prediction markets. While institutional capital and strong July performance offer hope, market indicators warn of a potential correction – the latest crypto press review reveals which factors will now be crucial.

Bitcoin and altcoins were mostly down on Friday morning

Finanzen.net reported on Friday morning that Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Ripple , and other cryptocurrencies were mostly declining in price. Bitcoin fell by 1.24 percent to $63,916.49 at 9:40 AM, after closing at $64,718.78 the previous day.

Ethereum also came under pressure. Its price fell by 1.66 percent to $1,886.92, compared to $1,918.69 the previous day. Bitcoin Cash lost 1.95 percent, closing at $212.53, down from $216.76 the day before.

According to Finanzen.net, Cardano, Stellar, Tron, Dogecoin, and Sui saw smaller price movements. Cardano traded at $0.1688, down from $0.1697 the previous day; Stellar at $0.1697, down from $0.1719; while Tron remained virtually unchanged at $0.3285, down from $0.3283.

The finanzen.net Top 10 Crypto-ETP1 was trading at 0.4 percent. At a price of EUR 8.33, its performance since inception was -9.6 percent.

Ethereum reclaims $1,900 – ETF inflows in focus

Wallstreet Online describes Ethereum as facing its first real test in weeks after surpassing $1,900. On Thursday morning, the price was around $1,917, after hitting a low of $1,856 the previous day.

At the same time, according to Wallstreet Online, the token was still 61 percent below its record high of nearly $4,946 from August 2025. Further developments, therefore, depend, among other things, on whether the return of ETF inflows from the recovery proves to be more than just a rebound.

On July 29th, Ether rose by almost two percent, defending a rising support level. In addition to the unwinding of short positions, inflows into US spot ETFs on Ether also supported the move. These attracted $14.53 million that day, $5.15 million of which came through the Morgan Stanley product.

This marked three consecutive weeks of positive net inflows for Ethereum ETFs. The US Federal Reserve confirmed its interest rate corridor of 3.50 to 3.75 percent, after which Ethereum climbed above $1,900.

Wallstreet Online identifies the next resistance level near $1,970. Furthermore, liquidation zones at $1,940 and $1,960 could shape the upcoming move. A death cross remains visible, even as the trend strengthens.

The article also compares Ethereum to the advertised project Pepeto. Among other things, it mentions a pre-sale, inflows of more than $10 million, a price of 0.000000188, and a planned Binance listing.

Prediction markets see a significant downside risk for Ethereum

The Bitcoin Foundation reports an increasingly bearish sentiment regarding Ethereum price predictions. Traders on Kalshi were pricing in a 73% probability at the time of writing that Ethereum would fall below $1,500 by the end of the year.

In the same market, the probability of a drop below $1,250 was 59%, while a move below $1,000 was assessed at a probability of 32%. Polymarket also showed a downward bias: there, the probability of Ethereum touching the $1,500 mark before 2027 was 76%.

Polymarket saw a 27% chance of Ethereum reaching $1,000. They assessed a 19% probability of Ethereum falling to $800 before 2027.

On the upside, expectations were considerably more subdued. Polymarket traders saw a 17% chance that Ethereum would reach $3,500 before 2027. The probabilities for $4,000 and $4,500 were 13% and 10%, respectively.

The Bitcoin Foundation places these forecasts within the context of a broader crypto sell-off. Bitcoin fell as low as $61,000, approaching April levels, while leveraged traders across the market were hit hard. Ethereum traded around the $1,700 mark, according to the price data cited in the article.

This assessment is attributed to Tom Lee, Head of Research at Fundstrat and Chairman of Bitmine. According to the Bitcoin Foundation, Lee believes that a value of $250,000 is even possible in the long term if tokenization and AI bring more financial activity to Ethereum.

Ethereum funds continue to raise capital

FinanzNachrichten.de focuses on the launch of an Ethereum fund by Morgan Stanley on the NYSE Arca. The Morgan Stanley Ethereum Trust launched on July 28th under the ticker symbol MSSE and tracks the CoinDesk Ether Benchmark.

The cost ratio is 0.14 percent and is described in the article as the lowest fee in the entire market. According to FinanzNachrichten.de, around 16,000 advisors and the E- Trade platform give the launch a wide reach.

In the seven days leading up to July 28, 37,959 ETH, worth approximately $71 million, flowed into Ethereum funds. Simultaneously, Bitcoin funds lost 3,170 BTC, valued at over $200 million. This marked the third consecutive week of net inflows for Ethereum funds.

Despite these capital movements, ETH has been fluctuating around $1,916. The first resistance level is considered to be $1,944, followed by the round number of $2,000. On the downside, below $1,850, the next support level comes into focus at $1,806.

FinanzNachrichten.de also points to the valuation of around $233 billion. The article states that in this environment, institutional money is buying access rather than the early stages of development.

__

(Featured image by DrawKit Illustrations via Unsplash)

DISCLAIMER: This article was written by a third party contributor and does not reflect the opinion of Born2Invest, its management, staff or its associates. Please review our disclaimer for more information.

This article may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements generally are identified by the words “believe,” “project,” “estimate,” “become,” “plan,” “will,” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks as well as uncertainties, including those discussed in the following cautionary statements and elsewhere in this article and on this site. Although the Company may believe that its expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, the actual results that the Company may achieve may differ materially from any forward-looking statements, which reflect the opinions of the management of the Company only as of the date hereof. Additionally, please make sure to read these important disclosures.

First published in Coin Kurier. A third-party contributor translated and adapted the article from the original. In case of discrepancy, the original will prevail.

Although we made reasonable efforts to provide accurate translations, some parts may be incorrect. Born2Invest assumes no responsibility for errors, omissions or ambiguities in the translations provided on this website. Any person or entity relying on translated content does so at their own risk. Born2Invest is not responsible for losses caused by such reliance on the accuracy or reliability of translated information. If you wish to report an error or inaccuracy in the translation, we encourage you to contact us.