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RLUSD Launch in Japan Amid XRP Price Decline and Uncertain Outlook

Ripple and SBI launched the RLUSD stablecoin in Japan after JFSA approval, signaling strong progress in tokenization. However, XRP fell to around $1.06, extending a broader downtrend despite rising institutional ETF inflows and increased network activity. Forecasts remain mixed, with recovery potential depending on regulation, market conditions, and key technical support levels holding.

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The launch of the RLUSD stablecoin in Japan marks a significant step for Ripple and the SBI Group following approval by the JFSA financial regulator. Despite this positive development, the XRP price is experiencing a worrying downward trend, raising questions about the token’s stability and future.

In this article, we examine the latest developments surrounding XRP, the impact of tokenization on the financial world, and forecasts for the coming months. Read on to learn more about the challenges and opportunities arising from these dynamic changes.

RLUSD launches in Japan after JFSA approval

On June 25th, 2026, Ripple and the SBI Group launched the RLUSD stablecoin in Japan after receiving approval from the JFSA financial regulator. Classified as an electronic payment instrument under the Payment Services Act, the stablecoinis available to both institutional and retail users via SBI VC Trade, with a market capitalization of $1.7 billion.

Despite this positive development, the XRP price fell by eight percent to $1.06 in the same week, briefly dipping to $1.01. The weekly RSI reached a low previously seen in the token’s history, at $0.29 in 2022. This discrepancy between fundamental progress and price action raises questions.

XRP: IMF on the future of money

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has described tokenizations the next stage in the evolution of money in a new video. Although XRP is not mentioned by name, the description of the advantages of tokenization shows parallels to the functions that XRP and Stellar have offered for years.

The IMF highlights that tokenization reduces the need for intermediaries, thus saving time and costs. At the same time, it warns of risks such as flash crashes and cascading risks that can arise from automated trading processes. This balanced assessment could be both an affirmation and a challenge for XRP and Stellar.

XRP forecast after the crash to $1.06

After falling 8 percent to $1.06, XRP has lost over 56 percent of its value since its January high of around $2.40. Despite these declines, seven spot XRP ETFs have seen combined inflows of approximately $990 million, indicating continued institutional interest.

Forecasts for XRP vary, with CryptoNews expecting a price between $1.20 and $1.30 by the end of 2026. Standard Chartered has lowered its target for XRP from $8 to $2.80, but sees long-term potential to $28 by 2030. The RSI is showing oversold levels, suggesting a possible rebound.

XRP Price News: Ripple-linked token holds $1 amid improved network activity

XRP remains above $1 after a leveraged sell-off, while network activity increases. Open interest has fallen from approximately $1.3 billion to below $150 million, indicating a clearing of overcrowded positions. Daily active addresses have increased by about 72 percent since mid-June.

The $1 support level remains crucial as XRP attempts to break through the $1.08 to $1.10 resistance. Traders are watching to see if the support holds long enough to signal a positive trend reversal.

XRP price: How RLUSD launch could influence it

XRP is currently at a key support level of $1.04. This zone has seen significant trading activity in the past and could be crucial for stabilizing the price. The Fear & Greed Index indicates that demand in the crypto market remains weak.

Ripple is pushing ahead with the expansion of its stablecoin RLUSD, which could be positive for the XRP price in the long term. However, the price reaction will remain muted as long as the market environment remains weak.

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(Featured image by Rudolf Klintsons via Pexels)

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Sharon Harris is a feminist and a part-time nomad. She reports about businesses primarily involved in tech, CBD, and crypto. She started her career as a product manager at a Silicon Valley startup but now enjoys a new life as a personal finance geek and writer. Her primary aim is to provide readers with a new perspective on the overlapping world of finance and technology.